{"id":626,"date":"2021-07-29T16:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-07-29T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/?p=626"},"modified":"2021-08-17T12:37:12","modified_gmt":"2021-08-17T12:37:12","slug":"un-sujet-de-bac-desoriente","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/en\/un-sujet-de-bac-desoriente\/","title":{"rendered":"A (dis)oriented BAC subject"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dans le lot des sujets de BAC orient\u00e9s <sup>[1]<\/sup>, la proposition pour l\u2019\u00e9preuve de SES de mars 2021 nous a particuli\u00e8rement marqu\u00e9. Page 12, le sujet de la troisi\u00e8me partie se pr\u00e9sente sous cette forme <sup>[2]<\/sup> :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u00c0 l\u2019aide de vos connaissances et du dossier documentaire, vous montrerez comment l\u2019innovation peut \u00eatre une solution aux limites \u00e9cologiques de la croissance \u00e9conomique.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dossier \u00e9voqu\u00e9 inclut un graphique pr\u00e9sentant l\u2019augmentation significative des d\u00e9penses nationales en R&amp;D relatives \u00e0 la protection de l\u2019environnement entre 2006 et 2015 <sup>[3]<\/sup>. \u00c0 cela s\u2019ajoute un article vantant les m\u00e9rites des \u00e9nergies renouvelables et les pr\u00e9sentant comme une solution de substitution viable aux \u00e9nergies fossiles. Enfin la baisse de l\u2019intensit\u00e9 carbone du km parcouru en voiture entre 2007 et 2017 est pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e sous forme de graphique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Reprenons les trois arguments afin de mettre en \u00e9vidence les faiblesses de ce sujet. Tout d\u2019abord, l\u2019\u00e9volution positive des d\u00e9penses en faveur de l\u2019environnement nous met en garde sur la superficialit\u00e9 des arguments propos\u00e9s. En effet, face \u00e0 l\u2019urgence de la transition abord\u00e9e dans le sujet, les moyens mis en place, si on\u00e9reux soient-ils, ne suffisent absolument pas, seuls les r\u00e9sultats comptent. Or, lorsqu&rsquo;on \u00e9tudie la corr\u00e9lation entre \u00e9nergie consomm\u00e9e et PIB (seul indicateur de croissance \u00e9conomique \u00e0 ce jour) au niveau mondial <sup>[4]<\/sup>, on voit bien que malgr\u00e9 les efforts conc\u00e9d\u00e9s en innovation, la croissance \u00e9conomique reste \u00e9troitement li\u00e9e \u00e0 la consommation d\u2019\u00e9nergie. Pour cro\u00eetre, le PIB a donc besoin d\u2019\u00e9nergie suppl\u00e9mentaire et l\u2019innovation ne change rien \u00e0 ce constat. Comment d\u00e9corr\u00e9ler croissance \u00e9conomique et \u00e9mission de GES dans ce contexte ?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"824\" height=\"478\" src=\"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/energie_graph9.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-628\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/energie_graph9.jpg 824w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/energie_graph9-300x174.jpg 300w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/energie_graph9-768x446.jpg 768w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/energie_graph9-640x371.jpg 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 824px) 100vw, 824px\" \/><figcaption>PIB mondial en dollars constants (axe vertical) par rapport \u00e0 la consommation mondiale d&rsquo;\u00e9nergie en millions de tonnes \u00e9quivalent p\u00e9trole (axe horizontal), de 1965 \u00e0 2014.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le deuxi\u00e8me document du corpus tente de r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 ce probl\u00e8me. Les \u00e9nergies renouvelables y sont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es comme la solution miracle :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Les \u00e9nergies fossiles sont, selon une tendance g\u00e9n\u00e9rale, abandonn\u00e9es au profit des renouvelables. Cette premi\u00e8re affirmation est tout simplement fausse. La tendance est plut\u00f4t \u00e0 l\u2019ajout d\u2019\u00e9nergie renouvelable sur un parc fossile en constante augmentation.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"458\" height=\"295\" src=\"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/approvisionnement-mondial.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-629\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/approvisionnement-mondial.png 458w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/approvisionnement-mondial-300x193.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 458px) 100vw, 458px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>15% de l\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 mondiale est produite \u00e0 partir de sources renouvelables, ce qui sous-entend que nous sommes sur une bonne trajectoire pour atteindre l\u2019engagement des 85% d\u2019\u00e9nergie primaire renouvelable d\u2019ici \u00e0 2050.<\/strong> Une confusion classique s\u2019est gliss\u00e9e ici entre \u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et \u00e9nergie. L\u2019\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 repr\u00e9sente simplement une partie de l\u2019\u00e9nergie consomm\u00e9e. C\u2019est ce pourquoi, au niveau mondial, seulement 5% de l\u2019\u00e9nergie provient de sources renouvelables <sup>[5]<\/sup>.On est donc encore bien loin de l\u2019objectif des 85%.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Les rendements du solaire et de l\u2019\u00e9olien ont fait des progr\u00e8s importants ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es.<\/strong> Encore une fois, cette affirmation s\u2019av\u00e8re erron\u00e9e puisque le facteur de charge<sup>1 <\/sup>de ces technologies n&rsquo;a quasiment pas \u00e9volu\u00e9 entre 2012 et 2021 et oscille entre 5% et 50% <sup>[6]<\/sup>.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"361\" src=\"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.43.41-1024x361.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-630\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.43.41-1024x361.png 1024w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.43.41-300x106.png 300w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.43.41-768x271.png 768w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.43.41-1536x542.png 1536w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.43.41-640x226.png 640w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.43.41-960x339.png 960w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.43.41-1280x452.png 1280w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.43.41.png 1660w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rien ne permet donc d\u2019affirmer que les \u00e9nergies renouvelables sont en train de se substituer aux \u00e9nergies fossiles. L\u2019\u00e9clairage apport\u00e9 \u00e0 ce document montre ainsi que la croissance \u00e9conomique ne peut pas perdurer sans vider les ressources limit\u00e9es d\u2019\u00e9nergie fossile. \u00c9puisement qui a \u00e9galement pour cons\u00e9quence l\u2019\u00e9mission de quantit\u00e9s des GES bien sup\u00e9rieures aux limites fix\u00e9es par l\u2019Accord de Paris.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Le dernier argument apparaissant dans le corpus est un classique : l\u2019innovation permet d\u2019am\u00e9liorer l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 des machines ce qui induit une baisse des diff\u00e9rents impacts, dont l\u2019impact carbone. Malheureusement, dans la vraie vie,Le dernier argument qui appara\u00eet dans le corpus est un classique : l\u2019innovation permet d\u2019am\u00e9liorer l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 et le rendement des machines, ce qui induit une baisse des diff\u00e9rents impacts, dont l\u2019impact carbone. Malheureusement, la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 est tout autre. Tout le monde sait que le prix d\u2019un produit est \u00e9gal au prix unitaire multipli\u00e9 par la quantit\u00e9. Pour le carbone c\u2019est la m\u00eame chose. L\u2019impact carbone est \u00e9gal \u00e0 l\u2019intensit\u00e9 carbone&nbsp; multipli\u00e9e par la quantit\u00e9 impliqu\u00e9e, ce qui permet d\u2019avoir un r\u00e9sultat homog\u00e8ne \u00e0 une masse de CO2 \u00e9mis dans l&rsquo;atmosph\u00e8re. Dans le cas d&rsquo;une voiture, ce serait donc la quantit\u00e9 de CO2 expuls\u00e9e sur un km, multipli\u00e9e par la distance parcourue. Ainsi en ne regardant que le prix, c&rsquo;est-\u00e0 -dire l\u2019\u00e9volution de l\u2019intensit\u00e9 carbone d\u2019un km parcouru en voiture, on occulte l\u2019autre moiti\u00e9 du probl\u00e8me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"991\" src=\"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.45.41-1024x991.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-631\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.45.41-1024x991.png 1024w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.45.41-300x290.png 300w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.45.41-768x743.png 768w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.45.41-640x620.png 640w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.45.41-960x929.png 960w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.45.41-24x24.png 24w, https:\/\/jybe.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/06\/Capture-de\u0301cran-2021-06-18-a\u0300-10.45.41.png 1252w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Or, si on s\u2019int\u00e9resse \u00e0 l\u2019autre moiti\u00e9, on se rend compte que le nombre de km parcourus en France en v\u00e9hicule a augment\u00e9 entre 2007 et 2017 de 16.9% ! <sup>[7]<\/sup> Certes les v\u00e9hicules \u00e9mettent un peu moins \u00e0 chaque km parcouru, mais le nombre de km augmente de l\u2019autre c\u00f4t\u00e9. Par ailleurs, l\u2019\u00e2ge moyen du parc automobile fran\u00e7ais est de 10.2 ans <sup>[8]<\/sup>. L\u2019am\u00e9lioration des performances des v\u00e9hicules neufs ne se sentira donc que dans dix ans et pas de fa\u00e7on imm\u00e9diate.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Un \u00e9l\u00e8ve bien inform\u00e9 ne peut donc pas d\u00e9montrer la proposition du sujet \u00e0 partir des documents du corpus. L\u2019innovation, telle qu\u2019elle est abord\u00e9e ici, \u00e0 grand renfort d\u2019\u00e9oliennes et de moteurs \u00e0 combustion high-tech, n\u2019est pas une solution aux limites \u00e9cologiques. Il est d\u2019ailleurs int\u00e9ressant de noter qu\u2019une seule de ces limites est abord\u00e9e : le climat. Mais les questions de biodiversit\u00e9, d\u2019\u00e9puisement des terres rares, de l\u2019eau et bien d\u2019autres passent \u00e0 la trappe. Alors que le GIEC et IPBES commencent \u00e0 travailler ensemble sur les sujets climat-biodiversit\u00e9 <sup>[9]<\/sup>, cet oubli fait t\u00e2che.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chez Jybe, nous pensons que l\u2019innovation peut encore permettre de s\u2019adapter aux limites plan\u00e9taires pour continuer \u00e0 vivre de fa\u00e7on confortable. Cependant, derri\u00e8re ce terme nous pensons \u00e0 bien d\u2019autres sujets plus passionnants que les panneaux solaires et les voitures. En explorant autour du monde des sujets comme la Low-Tech, les savoirs techniques ancestraux, les mod\u00e8les \u00e9conomiques et de soci\u00e9t\u00e9 alternatifs et la r\u00e9silience, nous esp\u00e9rons pouvoir bient\u00f4t proposer de vraies innovations pour rendre notre pr\u00e9sence sur la plan\u00e8te supportable \u00e0 long terme.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><sup>1<\/sup> Facteur de charge : Le facteur de charge est le rapport entre l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie \u00e9lectrique effectivement produite sur une p\u00e9riode donn\u00e9e et l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie qu&rsquo;elle aurait produite si elle avait fonctionn\u00e9 \u00e0 sa puissance nominale durant la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sources :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[1]<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediapart.fr\/journal\/economie\/140621\/bac-2021-en-economie-un-sujet-loin-d-etre-neutre\">https:\/\/www.mediapart.fr\/journal\/economie\/140621\/bac-2021-en-economie-un-sujet-loin-d-etre-neutre<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[2]<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sujetdebac.fr\/annales-pdf\/2021\/spe-sciences-eco-sociales-2021-metropole-2-sujet-officiel.pdf\">https:\/\/www.sujetdebac.fr\/annales-pdf\/2021\/spe-sciences-eco-sociales-2021-metropole-2-sujet-officiel.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[3]<a href=\"http:\/\/www.donnees.statistiques.developpement-durable.gouv.fr\/lesessentiels\/indicateurs\/a200.html\">http:\/\/www.donnees.statistiques.developpement-durable.gouv.fr\/lesessentiels\/indicateurs\/a200.html<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[4] <a href=\"https:\/\/theshiftproject.org\/lien-pib-energie\/7\">https:\/\/theshiftproject.org\/lien-pib-energie\/7<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[5] <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gazprom-energy.fr\/gazmagazine\/2020\/08\/le-mix-energetique-mondial-en-2020\/\">De quoi se compose le mix \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique mondial en 2020 ? (gazprom-energy.fr)<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[6]<a href=\"https:\/\/opendata.reseaux-energies.fr\/explore\/embed\/dataset\/fc-tc-nationaux-mensuels-eolien-solaire\/analyze\/?dataChart=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\">https:\/\/opendata.reseaux-energies.fr\/explore\/embed\/dataset\/fc-tc-nationaux-mensuels-eolien-solaire\/analyze\/?dataChart=eyJxdWVyaWVzIjpbeyJjaGFydHMiOlt7InR5cGUiOiJsaW5lIiwiZnVuYyI6IlNVTSIsInlBeGlzIjoiZmNfbW95ZW5fZW9saWVuIiwiY29sb3IiOiIjN0E5QUFEIiwic2NpZW50aWZpY0Rpc3BsYXkiOnRydWV9LHsidHlwZSI6ImxpbmUiLCJmdW5jIjoiU1VNIiwieUF4aXMiOiJmY19tb3llbl9zb2xhaXJlIiwiY29sb3IiOiIjRjZBQjREIiwic2NpZW50aWZpY0Rpc3BsYXkiOnRydWV9XSwieEF4aXMiOiJtb2lzIiwibWF4cG9pbnRzIjoiIiwidGltZXNjYWxlIjoibW9udGgiLCJzb3J0IjoiIiwiY29uZmlnIjp7ImRhdGFzZXQiOiJmYy10Yy1uYXRpb25hdXgtbWVuc3Vl<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[7]SDES-Bilan de la circulation d&rsquo;apr\u00e8s SDES, CCFA, Setra, Asfa, Kantar-Worldpanel, TNS-Sofres, CPDP<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[8]<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statistiques.developpement-durable.gouv.fr\/382-millions-de-voitures-en-circulation-en-france\">https:\/\/www.statistiques.developpement-durable.gouv.fr\/382-millions-de-voitures-en-circulation-en-france<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">[9] <a href=\"https:\/\/www.actu-environnement.com\/ae\/news\/interview-anne-larigauderie-ipbes-climat-biodiversite-rapport-atelier-37685.php4\">\u00ab Climat et biodiversit\u00e9 doivent d\u00e9sormais \u00eatre abord\u00e9s ensemble \u00bb (actu-environnement.com)<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans le lot des sujets de BAC orient\u00e9s [1], la proposition pour l\u2019\u00e9preuve de SES de mars 2021 nous a particuli\u00e8rement marqu\u00e9. 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